Scenarios that move JPM

JP Morgan Chase & Co. Common Stock

Scenarios that move JPM: 114 analyses, 75 positive, 39 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $77,500 in October — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  2. · ◇ What if… US confirms extraterrestrial life exists before 2027 — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  3. · CFG Q3 earnings beat estimates on NII growth, dividend hiked — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  4. · ◇ What if… SpaceX could lead 2026 IPOs by market capitalization — ▲ · impact +44 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  5. · ◇ What if… Apple becomes the world's largest company by market cap — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  6. · Bill Ackman directs up to $3 billion into Vantage — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  7. · Strive announces pricing of upsized SATS IPO — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  8. · Schwab Q3 earnings beat, but revenue miss sends shares lower — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  9. · Morgan Stanley beats quarterly profit estimates on equity trading strength — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  10. · BlackRock Q3 earnings beat estimates, shares gain on AUM growth — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  11. · Hot US inflation weighs on markets as CoreWeave plunges 15% — ▲ · impact +52 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  12. · Berkshire Hathaway builds $37.4 billion Alphabet stake — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  13. · Skydance stock falls 28.5% in trading today — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  14. · ◇ What if… Democrats win Ohio governor race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  15. · EU approves Kimberly-Clark's $40 billion Kenvue acquisition — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  16. · BofA fined $1.2 billion by US government for AML failures — ▼ · impact -49 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  17. · Goldman Sachs Q3 earnings beat estimates, shares rise on equities and IB — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  18. · JPMorgan Chase Q3 earnings and revenue miss estimates — ▼ · impact -90 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  19. · Citi profit jumps 40% on stronger banking, services and wealth revenue — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  20. · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Republicans win Senate — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  21. · ◇ What if… Aleksandar Vučić becomes Serbia’s next prime minister — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  22. · India's September inflation nears RBI tolerance ceiling — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  23. · ◇ What if… Students Win takes most seats in Serbia’s 2026 election — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  24. · ◇ What if… Democrats win Michigan Senate race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  25. · ◇ What if… Édouard Philippe wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  26. · Starbucks may pursue takeover bid for Chipotle — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  27. · ◇ What if… Luca Niculescu becomes Romania's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  28. · Rising Treasury yields pressure stocks as Caterpillar tumbles 6% — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  29. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $87,500 in October — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  30. · India raises interest rates for first time in nearly four years — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  31. · Vaxcyte prices concurrent stock, warrant and convertible note offerings — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  32. · Energy Transfer agrees to acquire Vaquero Midstream for $2.6 billion — ▲ · impact +4 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · StoneCo stock soars in today's trading — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  34. · ◇ What if… Democrats win Kansas Senate race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  35. · ◇ What if… Democrats win South Carolina Senate race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  36. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Kansas Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  37. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Texas Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  38. · ◇ What if… Lula wins most votes in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round — ▼ · impact -29 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  39. · US stocks rally as weak jobs data cools Fed hike bets — ▼ · impact -66 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  40. · ◇ What if… Renan Santos finishes third in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round — ▲ · impact +52 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  41. · India's $133-billion cash deluge puts RBI on hawkish path — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  42. · Paramount completes $52 billion debt sale to fund Warner buyout — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  43. · YPF's $24 billion Argentina LNG project gains US financing — ▲ · impact +44 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  44. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Ohio Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  45. · UK 30-year gilt yields top 6% for first time since 1998 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  46. · Michael Burry buys puts on Nvidia, Micron and Palantir — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  47. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates again in 2026 — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  48. · ◇ What if… Fed holds interest rates after December 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +61 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  49. · Nvidia unveils historic buyback as stock gains 1.7% — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  50. · ◇ What if… Ethereum reaches $2,900 during September trading — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  51. · Monzo reportedly holds sale talks with Nubank at £10 billion valuation — ▼ · impact -19 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  52. · GE Aerospace spends $12 billion on an acquisition — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  53. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,600 in September — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  54. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Nebraska Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  55. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $80,000 in September — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  56. · ◇ What if… Zelenskyy leaves Ukraine presidency by end of 2026 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  57. · US 10-year Treasury yield reaches a 19-year high — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  58. · ADARx Pharmaceuticals prices upsized $446.3 million initial public offering — ▲ · impact +21 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  59. · Stocks slide as Treasury yields climb and Oracle declares force majeure — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  60. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  61. · Bond yields spike as stocks drop while Boeing bucks trend — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  62. · ◇ What if… Ethereum reaches $3,500 by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  63. · Royal Caribbean nears $3 billion deal for 50% Sandals stake — ▲ · impact +15 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  64. · ◇ What if… Republicans win control of Senate after 2026 midterms — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  65. · US 30-year Treasury yield hits a 19-year high — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  66. · Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may defy Trump again — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  67. · Turkey orders Isbank and Ziraat to liquidate $18.3 billion in funds — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  68. · Central banks signal a global rate-hike cycle — ▲ · impact +80 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  69. · ◇ What if… Samuel Alito announces retirement by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  70. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $55,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  71. · Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire Hathaway enters new era — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  72. · ◇ What if… Fed cuts interest rates by 100 bps — ▼ · impact -65 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  73. · Gauzy announces court-approved resolution of legacy debt — ▼ · impact -15 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  74. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $75,000 in September — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  75. · ◇ What if… US enters recession by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -73 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  76. · RBI plans ₹1 lakh crore bond sales to drain liquidity — ▲ · impact +37 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  77. · Beta Bionics prices public offering of stock and warrants — ▲ · impact +9 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  78. · ◇ What if… Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before term ends — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  79. · Oklo announces $1 billion share sale, stock drops — ▲ · impact +11 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  80. · US 10-year Treasury yield reaches significant 5% threshold — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  81. · Olin and Huntsman merger clears US antitrust hurdle — ▲ · impact +15 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  82. · Salesforce spends record $27.1 billion on quarterly buybacks — ▲ · impact +41 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  83. · ◇ What if… OpenAI does not go public by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -28 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  84. · ◇ What if… Democrats win control of Senate and House after 2026 midterms — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  85. · ◇ What if… Ethereum price reaches $2,700 in September — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  86. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by October 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  87. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $80,000 in September — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  88. · ◇ What if… Fed holds interest rates steady after October 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  89. · GE Aerospace plans a $12 billion acquisition — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  90. · ◇ What if… David Lisnard wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +52 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  91. · Trump administration to sanction a large unnamed bank on Monday — ▼ · impact -58 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  92. · Japan spends $80B in foreign reserves to save yen — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  93. · ECB set to raise rates as Iran war fuels inflation — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  94. · Bessent signals Treasury bond plan and warns FX traders — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  95. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,250 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  96. · ◇ What if… Magdalena Andersson becomes Sweden’s next prime minister — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  97. · Flex acquires EPC Power for $4.4 billion — ▲ · impact +8 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  98. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -70 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  99. · ◇ What if… Democrats win control of the House after 2026 midterm elections — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  100. · Bitcoin drops below $80,000 as Fed-hike bets rise — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  101. · Uber nears buyout of Delivery Hero — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  102. · Hot jobs report lifts two-year Treasury yield to highest since January 2025 — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  103. · ◇ What if… Zcash doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  104. · ◇ What if… Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  105. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $100,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  106. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  107. · ◇ What if… Republicans retain control of Senate and House after 2026 midterm elections — ▲ · impact +56 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  108. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $45,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  109. · ◇ What if… Trump leaves office as US president before 2027 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  110. · ◇ What if… Clarity Act signed into law in 2026, establishing new US cryptocurrency rules — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  111. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +68 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  112. · ◇ What if… Fed leaves interest rates unchanged after September 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +68 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  113. · ◇ What if… The Fed Cuts Rates 100 bps — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  114. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin Rallies 25% In One Week After Trump Crypto Summit — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters

All scenarios · Run a scenario · Pricing