Scenarios that move CME

CME Group Inc. - Class A Common Stock

Scenarios that move CME: 66 analyses, 63 positive, 3 negative.

  1. · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  2. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $77,500 in October — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  3. · ◇ What if… US confirms extraterrestrial life exists before 2027 — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  4. · Nvidia loses $200 billion in value after OpenAI revenue miss — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  5. · Cipher Digital stock plunges 26% this week — ▲ · impact +28 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  6. · Strive announces pricing of upsized SATS IPO — ▲ · impact +12 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  7. · CoreWeave debt insurance costs hit record amid AI funding concerns — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  8. · Morgan Stanley beats quarterly profit estimates on equity trading strength — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  9. · Hot US inflation weighs on markets as CoreWeave plunges 15% — ▲ · impact +66 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  10. · Goldman Sachs Q3 earnings beat estimates, shares rise on equities and IB — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  11. · JPMorgan Chase Q3 earnings and revenue miss estimates — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  12. · US software stocks reach 2026 highs as AI fears fade — ▼ · impact -34 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  13. · Rising Treasury yields pressure stocks as Caterpillar tumbles 6% — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  14. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $87,500 in October — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  15. · UK 30-year gilt yields top 6% for first time since 1998 — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  16. · Michael Burry buys puts on Nvidia, Micron and Palantir — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  17. · US preferred inflation gauge cools, easing Fed rate pressure — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  18. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates again in 2026 — ▲ · impact +61 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  19. · ◇ What if… Fed holds interest rates after December 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  20. · Nvidia unveils historic buyback as stock gains 1.7% — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  21. · ◇ What if… Ethereum reaches $2,900 during September trading — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  22. · ◇ What if… Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  23. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,600 in September — ▲ · impact +41 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  24. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $80,000 in September — ▲ · impact +51 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  25. · US 10-year Treasury yield reaches a 19-year high — ▲ · impact +69 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  26. · Stocks slide as Treasury yields climb and Oracle declares force majeure — ▲ · impact +63 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  27. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  28. · Bond yields spike as stocks drop while Boeing bucks trend — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  29. · Forward Industries announces $25 million registered direct offering — ▲ · impact +12 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  30. · ◇ What if… Ethereum reaches $3,500 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  31. · Istanbul Stock Exchange removes over a quarter of main index — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  32. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $130,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +28 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · US 30-year Treasury yield hits a 19-year high — ▲ · impact +77 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  34. · Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may defy Trump again — ▲ · impact +63 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  35. · Central banks signal a global rate-hike cycle — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  36. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $55,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +46 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  37. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $75,000 in September — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  38. · ◇ What if… US enters recession by end of 2026 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  39. · SoftBank shares tumble after AI safety warnings — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  40. · US 10-year Treasury yield reaches significant 5% threshold — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  41. · Tech stocks slide as dire AI warnings send Micron down 5% — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  42. · ◇ What if… Ethereum price reaches $2,700 in September — ▲ · impact +54 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  43. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by October 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +69 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  44. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $80,000 in September — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  45. · ◇ What if… Fed holds interest rates steady after October 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +47 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  46. · ◇ What if… AfD wins most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s 2026 election — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  47. · Japan spends $80B in foreign reserves to save yen — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  48. · Bessent signals Treasury bond plan and warns FX traders — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  49. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,250 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  50. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  51. · Bitcoin network reports $320 million stolen in latest hack — ▲ · impact +15 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  52. · Bitcoin drops below $80,000 as Fed-hike bets rise — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  53. · ◇ What if… Anthropic shares fall 70% one month after IPO — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  54. · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ▲ · impact +44 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  55. · Hot jobs report lifts two-year Treasury yield to highest since January 2025 — ▲ · impact +51 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  56. · ◇ What if… Zcash doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▲ · impact +18 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  57. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $100,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  58. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  59. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $45,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  60. · ◇ What if… Trump leaves office as US president before 2027 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  61. · ◇ What if… Clarity Act signed into law in 2026, establishing new US cryptocurrency rules — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  62. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +57 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  63. · ◇ What if… Fed leaves interest rates unchanged after September 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  64. · ◇ What if… The Fed Cuts Rates 100 bps — ▼ · impact -24 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  65. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin Rallies 25% In One Week After Trump Crypto Summit — ▲ · impact +49 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  66. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin Surges 25% In One Week After Trump Crypto Summit — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence low · horizon weeks

All scenarios · Run a scenario · Pricing