Scenarios that move NEM

Newmont Corporation

Scenarios that move NEM: 97 analyses, 59 positive, 38 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $77,500 in October — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  2. · Nvidia loses $200 billion in value after OpenAI revenue miss — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  3. · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▲ · impact +47 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  4. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -39 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  5. · ◇ What if… Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel's premiership before 2027 — ▼ · impact -15 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  6. · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  7. · Morgan Stanley beats quarterly profit estimates on equity trading strength — ▼ · impact -27 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  8. · Hot US inflation weighs on markets as CoreWeave plunges 15% — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  9. · Goldman Sachs Q3 earnings beat estimates, shares rise on equities and IB — ▼ · impact -31 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  10. · JPMorgan Chase Q3 earnings and revenue miss estimates — ▲ · impact +34 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  11. · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Republicans win Senate — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  12. · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  13. · Airlines cancel Saudi flights after Riyadh airport attacks — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  14. · India's September inflation nears RBI tolerance ceiling — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  15. · ◇ What if… Houthis launch military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  16. · ◇ What if… Édouard Philippe wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  17. · ◇ What if… Luca Niculescu becomes Romania's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -14 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  18. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  19. · US software stocks reach 2026 highs as AI fears fade — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  20. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $87,500 in October — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  21. · India raises interest rates for first time in nearly four years — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  22. · XP Inc. stock soars 30.9% in trading — ▼ · impact -10 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  23. · S&P 500 hits record high as nuclear stocks surge — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  24. · ◇ What if… Puma Shen wins the next Taipei mayoral election — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  25. · ◇ What if… Israel accuses Iran proxies over plane stabbing incident by October 31 — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  26. · ◇ What if… Gold reaches $6,000 by December 2026 — ▲ · impact +95 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  27. · ◇ What if… US strikes Cuba by December 31 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  28. · US stocks rally as weak jobs data cools Fed hike bets — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  29. · Michael Burry buys puts on Nvidia, Micron and Palantir — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  30. · ◇ What if… Ethereum reaches $2,900 during September trading — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  31. · ◇ What if… Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  32. · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · ◇ What if… Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  34. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,600 in September — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  35. · China and US agree to AI dialogue and tariff cuts — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  36. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $80,000 in September — ▲ · impact +37 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  37. · US and China extend trade truce by two months — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  38. · ◇ What if… Trump and Putin fail to hold a meeting — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  39. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +32 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  40. · ◇ What if… Naftali Bennett becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -21 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  41. · Istanbul Stock Exchange removes over a quarter of main index — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  42. · Nasdaq hits intraday record high on Alphabet and Mideast hopes — ▼ · impact -41 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  43. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $130,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  44. · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  45. · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  46. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▼ · impact -43 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  47. · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +56 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  48. · Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may defy Trump again — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  49. · Turkey orders Isbank and Ziraat to liquidate $18.3 billion in funds — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  50. · ◇ What if… US and Iran fail to hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▲ · impact +46 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  51. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $55,000 by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  52. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▲ · impact +49 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  53. · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  54. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $75,000 in September — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  55. · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  56. · ◇ What if… US enters recession by end of 2026 — ▲ · impact +66 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  57. · ◇ What if… Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by December 31 — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  58. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  59. · SoftBank shares tumble after AI safety warnings — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  60. · Tech stocks slide as dire AI warnings send Micron down 5% — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  61. · ◇ What if… Ethereum price reaches $2,700 in September — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  62. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $80,000 in September — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  63. · ◇ What if… AfD wins most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s 2026 election — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  64. · ◇ What if… David Lisnard wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -15 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  65. · Trump administration to sanction a large unnamed bank on Monday — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  66. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▲ · impact +49 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  67. · ◇ What if… Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  68. · ECB set to raise rates as Iran war fuels inflation — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  69. · Bessent signals Treasury bond plan and warns FX traders — ▲ · impact +82 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  70. · ◇ What if… Ethereum dips to $2,250 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +27 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  71. · ◇ What if… Israeli forces withdraw beyond the Litani River by December 31 — ▼ · impact -36 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  72. · Iran missile launch at Jordan lifts oil prices — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  73. · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  74. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  75. · ◇ What if… Anthropic shares fall 70% one month after IPO — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  76. · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  77. · ◇ What if… US and Iran reach a final nuclear deal by December 31 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  78. · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  79. · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▲ · impact +52 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  80. · US attack hits Iranian tanker near Kharg Island — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  81. · Iran fires on Kuwait after reported US wedding attack — ▲ · impact +49 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  82. · ◇ What if… Zcash doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  83. · ◇ What if… Israel closes its airspace by September 30 — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  84. · ◇ What if… Iran closes its entire airspace by September 30 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  85. · ◇ What if… Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  86. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin reaches $100,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  87. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin doubles overnight, lifting crypto-related public equities — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  88. · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  89. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin dips to $45,000 by Dec. 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  90. · ◇ What if… Trump leaves office as US president before 2027 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  91. · ◇ What if… Clarity Act signed into law in 2026, establishing new US cryptocurrency rules — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  92. · ◇ What if… Iranian regime falls before 2027, reshaping regional energy markets — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  93. · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▲ · impact +66 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  94. · ◇ What if… The Fed Cuts Rates 100 bps — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  95. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin Rallies 25% In One Week After Trump Crypto Summit — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  96. · ◇ What if… Bitcoin Surges 25% In One Week After Trump Crypto Summit — ▼ · impact -21 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  97. · Copper Prices Surge After Major Mine Closure In Chile — ▲ · confidence low

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