Scenarios that move GM

General Motors Company Common Stock

Scenarios that move GM: 95 analyses, 33 positive, 62 negative.

  1. · Iranian Guards say two tankers hit mines in Hormuz — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  2. · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  3. · Trump waives many Russia-related sanctions and tariffs under new law — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  4. · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  5. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  6. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  7. · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  8. · TotalEnergies flags quarterly profit surge as Iran war lifts energy prices — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  9. · Tesla to report Q3 earnings with automotive margins in focus — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  10. · US consumer prices accelerate in September as gasoline costs rise — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  11. · ◇ What if… Indiana enacts data center moratorium by June 30, 2027 — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  12. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach Hormuz agreement by October 31 — ▲ · impact +36 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  13. · US blockade keeps Iranian crude exports at zero in October — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  14. · ◇ What if… Aleksandar Vučić becomes Serbia’s next prime minister — ▲ · impact +24 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  15. · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  16. · Saudi Arabia faces new missile and drone attacks — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  17. · Tata Motors raises Iveco offer price to €14.40 — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  18. · Europe faces another year of high gas prices as reserves fall — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  19. · ◇ What if… Houthis launch military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  20. · Iran calls US response to Hormuz reopening proposal insufficient — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  21. · ◇ What if… Students Win takes most seats in Serbia’s 2026 election — ▼ · impact -9 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  22. · ◇ What if… Democrats win Michigan Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +34 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  23. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  24. · Iran official says illegal Strait of Hormuz routes will soon be blocked — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  25. · POSCO secures KRW 1.1 trillion LFP cathode supply deal with SK On — ▼ · impact -18 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  26. · ◇ What if… Trump proposes $5,000 payments to every American — ▼ · impact -39 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  27. · EU envoys set to approve major new Russia sanctions — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  28. · US EIA hikes oil price forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  29. · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  30. · OPEC+ delays oil capacity review as Iran war disrupts plans — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  31. · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  32. · Projectiles hit three oil tankers in Strait of Hormuz — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by December 31 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  34. · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  35. · NIO announces strategic transaction agreements with Geely — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  36. · US to finalize sharply lower vehicle fuel economy standards — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  37. · ◇ What if… Zelenskyy leaves Ukraine presidency by end of 2026 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  38. · Lucid delays Cosmos SUV again, raising dilution concerns — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  39. · ◇ What if… Russia enters Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  40. · Volkswagen flags major charges as Porsche and China pressure profits — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  41. · Istanbul Stock Exchange removes over a quarter of main index — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  42. · Vessel traffic through Strait of Hormuz falls to two — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  43. · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  44. · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  45. · ◇ What if… Iran loses control of Kharg Island by December 31 — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  46. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  47. · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  48. · ◇ What if… Delcy Rodríguez leads Venezuela at end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  49. · Turkey orders Isbank and Ziraat to liquidate $18.3 billion in funds — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  50. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  51. · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▼ · impact -51 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  52. · Gauzy announces court-approved resolution of legacy debt — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  53. · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  54. · ◇ What if… Xavier Becerra wins California’s 2026 governor election — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  55. · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  56. · ◇ What if… Saudi Arabia restarts East-West oil pipeline by September 30 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  57. · Houthis strike Saudi targets as Hormuz talks stall — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  58. · Generation Mining secures financing to build Canadian critical minerals mine — ▲ · impact +15 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  59. · Dangote launches Africa’s biggest oil refinery as ‘people’s IPO’ — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  60. · Trump says US could stay in Iran and keep oil — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  61. · Saudi Arabia reports Iraq-launched drones hit East-West pipeline — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  62. · ◇ What if… David Lisnard wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  63. · Japan spends $80B in foreign reserves to save yen — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  64. · ◇ What if… WTI crude oil reaches $100 in September — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  65. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  66. · US EIA raises oil forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  67. · Middle East tensions push oil toward $100 as Asia stocks weaken — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  68. · Iran missile launch at Jordan lifts oil prices — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  69. · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  70. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  71. · Iran plans new Gulf exclusion zone and threatens US — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  72. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach a Hormuz agreement by September 30 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  73. · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  74. · US-Iranian strikes push Strait of Hormuz traffic to lowest since May — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  75. · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  76. · US attack hits Iranian tanker near Kharg Island — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  77. · Iran fires on Kuwait after reported US wedding attack — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  78. · Volkswagen approves 50,000 job cuts and major restructuring — ▲ · impact +32 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  79. · ◇ What if… Anthropic has the highest IPO market cap in 2026 — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  80. · ◇ What if… Trump doubles tariffs on Canadian imports — ▼ · impact -61 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  81. · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  82. · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  83. · ◇ What if… Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins Brazil’s 2026 presidential election — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  84. · ◇ What if… New People (NL) gains the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  85. · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  86. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  87. · ◇ What if… Iranian regime falls before 2027, reshaping regional energy markets — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  88. · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  89. · ◇ What if… China Restricts Exports Of Rare-Earth Minerals To The United States — ▼ · impact -70 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  90. · ◇ What if… Congress Passes 50 Percent Tax Credit For Domestic Battery Manufacturing — ▲ · confidence medium
  91. · OPEC Announces Surprise 2M Barrel Increase — ▲ · confidence low
  92. · ◇ What if… OPEC Doubles Oil Production Flooding Global Markets — ▲ · confidence low
  93. · Copper Prices Surge After Major Mine Closure In Chile — ▼ · confidence low
  94. · US Government Announces 25 Percent Tariff On All Imported Semiconductors — ▼ · confidence low
  95. · ◇ What if… Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates By 50 Basis Points — ▲ · confidence low

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