Scenarios that move GD

General Dynamics Corporation Common Stock

Scenarios that move GD: 81 analyses, 53 positive, 28 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… US confirms extraterrestrial life exists before 2027 — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  2. · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▲ · impact +56 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  3. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  4. · Rocket Lab stock plunges as much as 16% today — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  5. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +54 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  6. · ◇ What if… Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel's premiership before 2027 — ▼ · impact -31 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  7. · BBAI secures over $225 million in federal contracts — ▼ · impact -27 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  8. · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  9. · Saudi Arabia faces new missile and drone attacks — ▲ · impact +51 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  10. · Airlines cancel Saudi flights after Riyadh airport attacks — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  11. · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  12. · US military disables cargo vessel breaching Iran blockade — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  13. · Three Saudi nationals killed in Riyadh airport attacks — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  14. · ◇ What if… Luca Niculescu becomes Romania's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +34 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  15. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -46 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  16. · EU envoys set to approve major new Russia sanctions — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  17. · Boeing receives up to $14.7 billion PAC-3 MSE contract — ▼ · impact -14 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  18. · ◇ What if… Puma Shen wins the next Taipei mayoral election — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  19. · ◇ What if… Pedro Sánchez leaves Spain's premiership by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  20. · ◇ What if… Israel accuses Iran proxies over plane stabbing incident by October 31 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  21. · India targets multibillion-dollar French jet deal by March — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  22. · Kratos secures over $100 million in space and cyber contracts — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  23. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Kansas Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +32 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  24. · ◇ What if… US strikes Cuba by December 31 — ▲ · impact +57 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  25. · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▲ · impact +54 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  26. · Boeing lands $20 billion Navy fighter jet contract — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  27. · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  28. · ◇ What if… Republicans win Ohio Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  29. · Joby and Archer burn $200 million quarterly, raising cash concerns — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  30. · Draganfly closes US$10 million strategic investment — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  31. · Pentagon awards RTX's Raytheon $20.7 billion AMRAAM contract — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  32. · ◇ What if… Ulf Kristersson becomes Sweden's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +44 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  33. · ◇ What if… Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -29 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  34. · GE Aerospace spends $12 billion on an acquisition — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  35. · ◇ What if… Zelenskyy leaves Ukraine presidency by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -49 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  36. · ◇ What if… Russia enters Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +68 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  37. · ◇ What if… Trump and Putin fail to hold a meeting — ▲ · impact +68 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  38. · Nasdaq hits intraday record high on Alphabet and Mideast hopes — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  39. · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  40. · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  41. · Lockheed Martin wins up to $1.2 billion US Army missile contract — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  42. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▼ · impact -38 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  43. · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +82 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  44. · ◇ What if… US and Iran fail to hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  45. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▲ · impact +57 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  46. · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▲ · impact +36 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  47. · US clears $24.3 billion fighter jet sale to Saudi Arabia — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  48. · ◇ What if… China imposes a blockade on Taiwan — ▲ · impact +61 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  49. · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  50. · Lockheed Martin reveals secret missile and fast-tracks production — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  51. · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  52. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▲ · impact +51 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  53. · ◇ What if… Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before term ends — ▼ · impact -34 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  54. · Houthis strike Saudi targets as Hormuz talks stall — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  55. · US Department of War invests $450 million in The Elmet Group — ▲ · impact +18 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  56. · ◇ What if… Democrats win control of Senate and House after 2026 midterms — ▼ · impact -26 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  57. · Trump says US could stay in Iran and keep oil — ▲ · impact +54 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  58. · GE Aerospace plans a $12 billion acquisition — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  59. · Saudi Arabia reports Iraq-launched drones hit East-West pipeline — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  60. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  61. · ◇ What if… Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  62. · ◇ What if… Israeli forces withdraw beyond the Litani River by December 31 — ▼ · impact -29 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  63. · ◇ What if… Magdalena Andersson becomes Sweden’s next prime minister — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  64. · Merchant vessels suffer disabling fires in Gulf — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  65. · Iran says it captured US submarine drone in Strait of Hormuz — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  66. · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  67. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  68. · ◇ What if… Netanyahu leaves office as Israel's prime minister by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -24 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  69. · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ▼ · impact -39 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  70. · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▲ · impact +47 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  71. · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▲ · impact +57 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  72. · Iran fires on Kuwait after reported US wedding attack — ▲ · impact +57 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  73. · ◇ What if… Israel closes its airspace by September 30 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  74. · ◇ What if… Iran closes its entire airspace by September 30 — ▲ · impact +39 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  75. · ◇ What if… Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  76. · ◇ What if… New People (NL) gains the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  77. · ◇ What if… United Russia wins the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▲ · impact +46 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  78. · ◇ What if… Putin leaves office as Russia’s president by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  79. · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  80. · ◇ What if… China Blockades Taiwan — ▲ · impact +66 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  81. · Amazon Announces Drone Delivery Expansion To 40 New US Cities — ▲ · confidence low

All scenarios · Run a scenario · Pricing