Scenarios that move F

Ford Motor Company Common Stock

Scenarios that move F: 89 analyses, 26 positive, 63 negative.

  1. · Iranian Guards say two tankers hit mines in Hormuz — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  2. · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  3. · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  4. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  5. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  6. · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  7. · TotalEnergies flags quarterly profit surge as Iran war lifts energy prices — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  8. · Tesla to report Q3 earnings with automotive margins in focus — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  9. · US consumer prices accelerate in September as gasoline costs rise — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  10. · US blockade keeps Iranian crude exports at zero in October — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  11. · Saudi Arabia leads OPEC+ output increase despite Iran war — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  12. · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Republicans win Senate — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  13. · ◇ What if… Aleksandar Vučić becomes Serbia’s next prime minister — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  14. · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  15. · Saudi Arabia faces new missile and drone attacks — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  16. · Tata Motors raises Iveco offer price to €14.40 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  17. · Europe faces another year of high gas prices as reserves fall — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  18. · ◇ What if… Houthis launch military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  19. · Iran calls US response to Hormuz reopening proposal insufficient — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  20. · ◇ What if… Democrats win Michigan Senate race in 2026 — ▲ · impact +32 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  21. · ◇ What if… Luca Niculescu becomes Romania's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  22. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  23. · IEA says it will accelerate oil reserve release — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  24. · Iran official says illegal Strait of Hormuz routes will soon be blocked — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  25. · POSCO secures KRW 1.1 trillion LFP cathode supply deal with SK On — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  26. · EU envoys set to approve major new Russia sanctions — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  27. · US EIA hikes oil price forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  28. · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  29. · ◇ What if… Democrats win South Carolina Senate race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  30. · OPEC+ delays oil capacity review as Iran war disrupts plans — ▼ · impact -38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  31. · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  32. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates again in 2026 — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by December 31 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  34. · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  35. · ◇ What if… Ulf Kristersson becomes Sweden's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -16 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  36. · NIO announces strategic transaction agreements with Geely — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  37. · US to finalize sharply lower vehicle fuel economy standards — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  38. · Lucid delays Cosmos SUV again, raising dilution concerns — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  39. · ◇ What if… Russia enters Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  40. · Volkswagen flags major charges as Porsche and China pressure profits — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  41. · Istanbul Stock Exchange removes over a quarter of main index — ▼ · impact -24 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  42. · Vessel traffic through Strait of Hormuz falls to two — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  43. · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  44. · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  45. · ◇ What if… Iran loses control of Kharg Island by December 31 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  46. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  47. · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -59 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  48. · Turkey orders Isbank and Ziraat to liquidate $18.3 billion in funds — ▼ · impact -29 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  49. · Central banks signal a global rate-hike cycle — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  50. · ◇ What if… US and Iran fail to hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  51. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  52. · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  53. · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  54. · ◇ What if… Xavier Becerra wins California’s 2026 governor election — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  55. · ◇ What if… US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  56. · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  57. · ◇ What if… US enters recession by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -65 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  58. · Trump says US could stay in Iran and keep oil — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  59. · Saudi Arabia reports Iraq-launched drones hit East-West pipeline — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  60. · ◇ What if… David Lisnard wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +12 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  61. · Japan spends $80B in foreign reserves to save yen — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  62. · ◇ What if… WTI crude oil reaches $100 in September — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  63. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  64. · Houthis tighten control over strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  65. · US EIA raises oil forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  66. · Middle East tensions push oil toward $100 as Asia stocks weaken — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  67. · Iran says it captured US submarine drone in Strait of Hormuz — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  68. · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  69. · ◇ What if… Marine Le Pen wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  70. · Iran plans new Gulf exclusion zone and threatens US — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  71. · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ▼ · impact -21 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
  72. · US-Iranian strikes push Strait of Hormuz traffic to lowest since May — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  73. · ◇ What if… Global oil prices reach $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  74. · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  75. · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▼ · impact -38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  76. · US attack hits Iranian tanker near Kharg Island — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  77. · Iran fires on Kuwait after reported US wedding attack — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  78. · Volkswagen approves 50,000 job cuts and major restructuring — ▲ · impact +24 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  79. · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  80. · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30 — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  81. · ◇ What if… New People (NL) gains the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  82. · ◇ What if… United Russia wins the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  83. · ◇ What if… Iranian regime falls before 2027, reshaping regional energy markets — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  84. · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  85. · ◇ What if… China Restricts Exports Of Rare-Earth Minerals To The United States — ▼ · impact -67 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  86. · ◇ What if… Congress Passes 50 Percent Tax Credit For Domestic Battery Manufacturing — ▲ · confidence medium
  87. · ◇ What if… OPEC Doubles Oil Production Flooding Global Markets — ▲ · confidence medium
  88. · Copper Prices Surge After Major Mine Closure In Chile — ▼ · confidence low
  89. · US Government Announces 25 Percent Tariff On All Imported Semiconductors — ▼ · confidence low

All scenarios · Run a scenario · Pricing