Scenarios that move BA
Boeing Company (The) Common Stock
Scenarios that move BA: 89 analyses, 40 positive, 48 negative.
- · ◇ What if… US confirms extraterrestrial life exists before 2027 — ▼ · impact -54 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Rocket Lab books its biggest contract ever again — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Trump waives many Russia-related sanctions and tariffs under new law — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… SpaceX could lead 2026 IPOs by market capitalization — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence high · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Rocket Lab delays Neutron launch until 2027 — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence high · horizon quarters
- · Rocket Lab stock plunges as much as 16% today — ▲ · impact +18 · confidence high · horizon quarters
- · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Google starts paying SpaceX $920 million monthly — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Delta Air Lines cuts 2026 earnings outlook — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Republicans win Senate — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Airlines cancel Saudi flights after Riyadh airport attacks — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Students Win takes most seats in Serbia’s 2026 election — ▼ · impact -15 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Delta Air Lines Q3 earnings miss estimates as fuel costs hurt margins — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Édouard Philippe wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -51 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Three Saudi nationals killed in Riyadh airport attacks — ▼ · impact -36 · confidence high · horizon quarters
- · Ryanair warns insanely higher jet fuel costs could persist into 2028 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Luca Niculescu becomes Romania's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Iran official says illegal Strait of Hormuz routes will soon be blocked — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia wins most seats in 2026 election — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Joby ordered to pay over $100 million in IP verdict — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Boeing receives up to $14.7 billion PAC-3 MSE contract — ▲ · impact +85 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Israel accuses Iran proxies over plane stabbing incident by October 31 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · India targets multibillion-dollar French jet deal by March — ▼ · impact -38 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · Kratos secures over $100 million in space and cyber contracts — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Democrats win South Carolina Senate race in 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Lula wins most votes in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US strikes Cuba by December 31 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · US stocks rally as weak jobs data cools Fed hike bets — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Boeing lands $20 billion Navy fighter jet contract — ▲ · impact +88 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Joby and Archer burn $200 million quarterly, raising cash concerns — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▼ · impact -22 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Pentagon awards RTX's Raytheon $20.7 billion AMRAAM contract — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · FAA delays Boeing 737 Max 10 certification over software issue — ▼ · impact -91 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · GE Aerospace spends $12 billion on an acquisition — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · China and US agree to AI dialogue and tariff cuts — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Zelenskyy leaves Ukraine presidency by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Russia enters Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · US and China extend trade truce by two months — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Trump and Putin fail to hold a meeting — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Bond yields spike as stocks drop while Boeing bucks trend — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▲ · impact +28 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Lockheed Martin wins up to $1.2 billion US Army missile contract — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Turkey orders Isbank and Ziraat to liquidate $18.3 billion in funds — ▲ · impact +15 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · US clears $24.3 billion fighter jet sale to Saudi Arabia — ▲ · impact +79 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Gauzy announces court-approved resolution of legacy debt — ▲ · impact +6 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31 — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Lockheed Martin reveals secret missile and fast-tracks production — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US enters recession by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -65 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by December 31 — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Boeing and Korean Air finalize order for 103 aircraft — ▲ · impact +88 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · Rocket Lab fully funds Iridium acquisition after completing $1.94 billion ATM — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Houthis strike Saudi targets as Hormuz talks stall — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · US Department of War invests $450 million in The Elmet Group — ▲ · impact +33 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · GE Aerospace plans a $12 billion acquisition — ▼ · impact -34 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Japan spends $80B in foreign reserves to save yen — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ECB set to raise rates as Iran war fuels inflation — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Bessent signals Treasury bond plan and warns FX traders — ▼ · impact -70 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Middle East tensions push oil toward $100 as Asia stocks weaken — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran says it captured US submarine drone in Strait of Hormuz — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Netanyahu leaves office as Israel's prime minister by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran plans new Gulf exclusion zone and threatens US — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Friedrich Merz leaves office as Germany’s chancellor before 2027 — ◆ · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran reach a final nuclear deal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +70 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Rocket Lab delays Neutron launch again, hurting shareholder confidence — ▲ · impact +29 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran fires on Kuwait after reported US wedding attack — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… OPEC announces surprise 2M barrel production cut — ▼ · impact -31 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Russia and Ukraine reach a ceasefire by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… New People (NL) gains the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▲ · impact +28 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… United Russia wins the most seats in Russia’s next parliamentary election — ▼ · impact -22 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Putin leaves office as Russia’s president by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… China Restricts Exports Of Rare-Earth Minerals To The United States — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Major Airline Grounds Entire Fleet After Software Failure — ▼ · confidence low
- · ◇ What if… Boeing Wins Record 500 Plane Order From Major Asian Airlines — ▲ · confidence medium