Scenarios that move UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc. Common Stock
Scenarios that move UPS: 87 analyses, 24 positive, 63 negative.
- · Iranian Guards say two tankers hit mines in Hormuz — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▼ · impact -41 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · ExxonMobil expects refining profits to jump $4.5 billion — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon quarters
- · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -54 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · TotalEnergies flags quarterly profit surge as Iran war lifts energy prices — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Delta Air Lines cuts 2026 earnings outlook — ▼ · impact -51 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Container ship sinks near Hormuz after projectile strike — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · US consumer prices accelerate in September as gasoline costs rise — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach Hormuz agreement by October 31 — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · US blockade keeps Iranian crude exports at zero in October — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · Saudi Arabia faces new missile and drone attacks — ▼ · impact -41 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Houthis launch military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15 — ▼ · impact -37 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▲ · impact +38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran calls US response to Hormuz reopening proposal insufficient — ▼ · impact -43 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… US imports Russian diesel by October 31 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · US military disables cargo vessel breaching Iran blockade — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Delta Air Lines Q3 earnings miss estimates as fuel costs hurt margins — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Oil tanker transits through Hormuz fall to two-month low — ▼ · impact -43 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · IEA says it will accelerate oil reserve release — ▲ · impact +47 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran official says illegal Strait of Hormuz routes will soon be blocked — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Shell sees record-high refining margins in third quarter — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · US EIA hikes oil price forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -58 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Yemeni government forces seize strategic strait from Houthis — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Israel accuses Iran proxies over plane stabbing incident by October 31 — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Nike beats Q1 earnings but misses revenue estimates — ▼ · impact -18 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · OPEC+ delays oil capacity review as Iran war disrupts plans — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Putin says Russia will withhold diesel exports until sanctions lifted — ▼ · impact -62 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Saudi Arabia restarts East-West oil pipeline by October 15 — ▲ · impact +44 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▼ · impact -49 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Ulta Beauty raises 2026 outlook as e-commerce momentum accelerates — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15 — ▲ · impact +51 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · US to loan up to 40 million barrels from SPR — ▲ · impact +36 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by December 31 — ▲ · impact +49 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▼ · impact -64 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Stitch Fix reports Q4 loss and misses revenue estimates — ▼ · impact -8 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · Trump backs diesel export ban as fuel prices hit records — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Vessel traffic through Strait of Hormuz falls to two — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▼ · impact -46 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▲ · impact +43 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · Global diesel prices hit records as further rises loom — ▼ · impact -56 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran loses control of Kharg Island by December 31 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Global diesel shortage likely to persist into 2027 — ▼ · impact -64 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran fail to hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▼ · impact -42 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Reza Pahlavi enters Iran by December 31 — ▼ · impact -47 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Boeing and Korean Air finalize order for 103 aircraft — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Saudi Arabia restarts East-West oil pipeline by September 30 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▼ · impact -51 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Houthis strike Saudi targets as Hormuz talks stall — ▼ · impact -44 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · Cooper Companies faces scrutiny as US channel inventories decline — ▼ · impact -10 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches a new all-time high by December 31 — ▼ · impact -61 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… WTI crude oil reaches $100 in September — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · US EIA raises oil forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -48 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · Merchant vessels suffer disabling fires in Gulf — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Middle East tensions push oil toward $100 as Asia stocks weaken — ▼ · impact -58 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · Iran missile launch at Jordan lifts oil prices — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · Iran plans new Gulf exclusion zone and threatens US — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach a Hormuz agreement by September 30 — ▲ · impact +42 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran reach a final nuclear deal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +54 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz disruption drives crude oil prices 30% higher — ▼ · impact -59 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Global oil prices reach $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -63 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▼ · impact -36 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · Ukraine and Iran wars push diesel to record highs — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · US attack hits Iranian tanker near Kharg Island — ▼ · impact -46 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · Renewed US-Iran strikes lift oil and diesel prices — ▼ · impact -62 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… OPEC announces surprise 2M barrel production cut — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Israel closes its airspace by September 30 — ▼ · impact -27 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran closes its entire airspace by September 30 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence high · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +22 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30 — ▲ · impact +52 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iranian regime falls before 2027, reshaping regional energy markets — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · OPEC Announces Surprise 2M Barrel Increase — ▲ · confidence high
- · ◇ What if… OPEC Doubles Oil Production Flooding Global Markets — ▲ · confidence high
- · OPEC Announces Surprise Production Cut Of 2 Million Barrels Per Day — ▼ · confidence medium