Scenarios that move STNG

Scorpio Tankers Inc. Common Shares

Scenarios that move STNG: 69 analyses, 52 positive, 17 negative.

  1. · Iranian Guards say two tankers hit mines in Hormuz — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  2. · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  3. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026 — ▲ · impact +83 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  4. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  5. · Iran’s precision strikes damage Gulf infrastructure and blunt US war plans — ▲ · impact +68 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  6. · TotalEnergies flags quarterly profit surge as Iran war lifts energy prices — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  7. · Container ship sinks near Hormuz after projectile strike — ▲ · impact +71 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  8. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach Hormuz agreement by October 31 — ▼ · impact -62 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  9. · US blockade keeps Iranian crude exports at zero in October — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  10. · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Republicans win Senate — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  11. · Iran fortifies nuclear sites ahead of possible US strikes — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  12. · Americas face heavy-oil glut as freight squeeze disrupts trade — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  13. · ◇ What if… Iran reaches Hormuz agreement as Democrats win Senate — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  14. · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  15. · Iran calls US response to Hormuz reopening proposal insufficient — ▲ · impact +79 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  16. · ◇ What if… US imports Russian diesel by October 31 — ▼ · impact -58 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  17. · US military disables cargo vessel breaching Iran blockade — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  18. · Three Saudi nationals killed in Riyadh airport attacks — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  19. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  20. · Oil tanker transits through Hormuz fall to two-month low — ▲ · impact +74 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  21. · Iran official says illegal Strait of Hormuz routes will soon be blocked — ▲ · impact +79 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  22. · EU envoys set to approve major new Russia sanctions — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  23. · US EIA hikes oil price forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  24. · Yemeni government forces seize strategic strait from Houthis — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  25. · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▲ · impact +67 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  26. · OPEC+ delays oil capacity review as Iran war disrupts plans — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  27. · Putin says Russia will withhold diesel exports until sanctions lifted — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  28. · US sanctions Iran’s auto and rail sectors as blockade chokes shipping — ▲ · impact +73 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  29. · Projectiles hit three oil tankers in Strait of Hormuz — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  30. · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▲ · impact +60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  31. · ◇ What if… Gadi Eizenkot becomes Israel's next prime minister — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  32. · Trump backs diesel export ban as fuel prices hit records — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  33. · Vessel traffic through Strait of Hormuz falls to two — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  34. · Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US eases pressure — ▼ · impact -64 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  35. · Global diesel prices hit records as further rises loom — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  36. · ◇ What if… Iran loses control of Kharg Island by December 31 — ▲ · impact +65 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  37. · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  38. · Global diesel shortage likely to persist into 2027 — ▲ · impact +74 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  39. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▲ · impact +55 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  40. · Trump signs Russia sanctions bill into law — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  41. · ◇ What if… US and Iran hold diplomatic meeting by September 30 — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  42. · ◇ What if… US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  43. · ◇ What if… Iran charges fees for Strait of Hormuz passage by October 31 — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  44. · ◇ What if… Saudi Arabia restarts East-West oil pipeline by September 30 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  45. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▲ · impact +77 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  46. · Houthis strike Saudi targets as Hormuz talks stall — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  47. · Dangote launches Africa’s biggest oil refinery as ‘people’s IPO’ — ▲ · impact +62 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  48. · Trump says US could stay in Iran and keep oil — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  49. · Saudi Arabia reports Iraq-launched drones hit East-West pipeline — ▲ · impact +33 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  50. · Iran-US shipping attacks drive oil tanker rates to records — ▲ · impact +80 · confidence high · horizon immediate
  51. · Trump administration to sanction a large unnamed bank on Monday — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  52. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  53. · Houthis tighten control over strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  54. · Merchant vessels suffer disabling fires in Gulf — ▲ · impact +78 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  55. · Iran says it captured US submarine drone in Strait of Hormuz — ▲ · impact +73 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  56. · South African economy shrinks in second quarter amid Iran war — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  57. · ◇ What if… Netanyahu leaves office as Israel's prime minister by end of 2026 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  58. · Iran plans new Gulf exclusion zone and threatens US — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  59. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach a Hormuz agreement by September 30 — ▼ · impact -85 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  60. · US-Iranian strikes push Strait of Hormuz traffic to lowest since May — ▲ · impact +80 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  61. · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz disruption drives crude oil prices 30% higher — ▲ · impact +80 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  62. · ◇ What if… Global oil prices reach $150 a barrel — ▲ · impact +58 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  63. · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  64. · Trump says US may strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain soon — ▲ · impact +69 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  65. · Ukraine and Iran wars push diesel to record highs — ▲ · impact +72 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  66. · US attack hits Iranian tanker near Kharg Island — ▲ · impact +75 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  67. · ◇ What if… Iran closes its entire airspace by September 30 — ▲ · impact +66 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  68. · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  69. · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 — ▼ · impact -72 · confidence low · horizon immediate

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