Scenarios that move MAR

Marriott International - Class A Common Stock

Scenarios that move MAR: 23 analyses, 3 positive, 20 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… US confirms extraterrestrial life exists before 2027 — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  2. · Airlines cancel Saudi flights after Riyadh airport attacks — ▼ · impact -36 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  3. · Three Saudi nationals killed in Riyadh airport attacks — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence high · horizon weeks
  4. · ◇ What if… Plague outbreak in Russia continues and spreads further — ▼ · impact -27 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  5. · ◇ What if… Pedro Sánchez leaves Spain's premiership by December 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  6. · ◇ What if… Israel accuses Iran proxies over plane stabbing incident by October 31 — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  7. · ◇ What if… US strikes Cuba by December 31 — ▼ · impact -34 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  8. · Carnival beats Q3 earnings estimates on record revenue and yields — ▼ · impact -18 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  9. · Trump rejects Iran peace proposal as oil spikes — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  10. · ◇ What if… Karen Bass wins Los Angeles’ 2026 mayoral election — ▼ · impact -24 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  11. · Royal Caribbean nears $3 billion deal for 50% Sandals stake — ▼ · impact -22 · confidence high · horizon quarters
  12. · ◇ What if… Iran undergoes leadership change by December 31 — ▼ · impact -35 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  13. · ◇ What if… NATO and Russia clash militarily by October 31, 2026 — ▼ · impact -46 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
  14. · ◇ What if… Israel strikes four countries in 2026 — ▼ · impact -50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  15. · Trump says US could stay in Iran and keep oil — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  16. · ◇ What if… David Lisnard wins France’s 2027 presidential election — ▲ · impact +18 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  17. · ◇ What if… Iran withdraws from the NPT before 2027 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  18. · ◇ What if… Netanyahu leaves office as Israel's prime minister by end of 2026 — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  19. · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▼ · impact -28 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  20. · ◇ What if… Iran closes its entire airspace by September 30 — ▼ · impact -34 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  21. · ◇ What if… Israel-Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +35 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  22. · ◇ What if… US invasion of Iran occurs before 2027, threatening global energy markets — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  23. · ◇ What if… Major Airline Grounds Entire Fleet After Software Failure — ▼ · confidence low

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