Scenarios that move GSL

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Scenarios that move GSL: 5 analyses, 1 positive, 4 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▼ · impact -20 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  2. · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -30 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  3. · Yemeni government forces seize strategic strait from Houthis — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  4. · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▼ · impact -55 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  5. · Houthis tighten control over strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait — ▲ · impact +61 · confidence medium · horizon weeks

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