Scenarios that move ALK
Alaska Air Group, Inc. Common Stock
Scenarios that move ALK: 40 analyses, 9 positive, 31 negative.
- · Iranian Guards say two tankers hit mines in Hormuz — ▼ · impact -63 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · PetroChina set for record trading profit as war upends markets — ▼ · impact -56 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ExxonMobil expects refining profits to jump $4.5 billion — ▼ · impact -62 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Trump says US may need to strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain — ▼ · impact -46 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman fail to reach a Hormuz agreement — ▼ · impact -54 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Delta Air Lines cuts 2026 earnings outlook — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
- · Saudi Arabia faces new missile and drone attacks — ▼ · impact -49 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Delta Air Lines Q3 earnings miss estimates as fuel costs hurt margins — ▼ · impact -59 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · Ryanair warns insanely higher jet fuel costs could persist into 2028 — ▼ · impact -58 · confidence high · horizon weeks
- · Oil tanker transits through Hormuz fall to two-month low — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Shell sees record-high refining margins in third quarter — ▼ · impact -60 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · EU envoys set to approve major new Russia sanctions — ▼ · impact -38 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · US EIA hikes oil price forecasts as Iran war drains stockpiles — ▼ · impact -72 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -78 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Saudi Arabia restarts East-West oil pipeline by October 15 — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15 — ▲ · impact +63 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by December 31 — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · FAA delays Boeing 737 Max 10 certification over software issue — ▼ · impact -40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Dan Sullivan wins Alaska’s 2026 Senate race — ▲ · impact +20 · confidence medium · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Mary Peltola wins Alaska’s 2026 Senate race — ▲ · impact +12 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Iran loses control of Kharg Island by December 31 — ▼ · impact -68 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… US and Iran ceasefire continues through September 30 — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▼ · impact -52 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran charges fees for Strait of Hormuz passage by October 31 — ▼ · impact -63 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Boeing and Korean Air finalize order for 103 aircraft — ▼ · impact -18 · confidence low · horizon quarters
- · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▼ · impact -59 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Saudi Arabia shuts oil pipeline as Houthis tighten Red Sea grip — ▼ · impact -63 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · Saudi Arabia reports Iraq-launched drones hit East-West pipeline — ▼ · impact -59 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Crude oil reaches a new all-time high by December 31 — ▼ · impact -62 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… WTI crude oil reaches $100 in September — ▼ · impact -64 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · Iran says it captured US submarine drone in Strait of Hormuz — ▼ · impact -54 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Iran and Oman reach a Hormuz agreement by September 30 — ▲ · impact +59 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · US-Iranian strikes push Strait of Hormuz traffic to lowest since May — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz disruption drives crude oil prices 30% higher — ▼ · impact -80 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Global oil prices reach $150 a barrel — ▼ · impact -78 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · US and allies seek IAEA referral of Iran to UN Security Council — ▼ · impact -51 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… OPEC announces surprise 2M barrel production cut — ▼ · impact -74 · confidence low · horizon weeks
- · ◇ What if… Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31 — ▲ · impact +64 · confidence low · horizon immediate
- · ◇ What if… Major Airline Grounds Entire Fleet After Software Failure — ▲ · confidence high
- · ◇ What if… Boeing Wins Record 500 Plane Order From Major Asian Airlines — ▼ · confidence low