Scenarios that move AIG

American International Group, Inc. New Common Stock

Scenarios that move AIG: 16 analyses, 6 positive, 10 negative.

  1. · ◇ What if… US and Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15 — ▼ · impact -25 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  2. · Better Home & Finance faces securities class action amid rising losses — ▼ · impact -8 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  3. · Three Saudi nationals killed in Riyadh airport attacks — ▼ · impact -24 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  4. · Yemeni government forces seize strategic strait from Houthis — ▼ · impact -45 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  5. · Saudi Arabia plans assault on Houthis to reopen Red Sea — ▼ · impact -28 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  6. · Stocks slide as Treasury yields climb and Oracle declares force majeure — ▲ · impact +50 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  7. · UN report says US strike on Iran school may be war crime — ▼ · impact -28 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  8. · ◇ What if… Houthis enter Aden by September 30 — ▼ · impact -32 · confidence low · horizon weeks
  9. · US 10-year Treasury yield reaches significant 5% threshold — ▲ · impact +48 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  10. · ◇ What if… Worldwide earthquakes reach 17 to 19 magnitude 7.0 or higher in 2026 — ▼ · impact -57 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  11. · ◇ What if… Fed holds interest rates steady after October 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +45 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  12. · Houthis tighten control over strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait — ▲ · impact +30 · confidence low · horizon immediate
  13. · Merchant vessels suffer disabling fires in Gulf — ▼ · impact -53 · confidence medium · horizon immediate
  14. · Kenya’s President Ruto expels Tata Chemicals from soda-ash operation — ▲ · impact +12 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  15. · ◇ What if… Fed raises interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting — ▲ · impact +40 · confidence low · horizon quarters
  16. · ◇ What if… Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates By 50 Basis Points — ▼ · confidence low

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